Documentation Index
Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.matchr.xyz/llms.txt
Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.
Strategy Overview
Vaults execute systematic trading strategies across prediction markets. Each strategy has a defined approach, risk profile, and target returns.The Arbitrageur
Cross-Platform Arbitrage
Risk: Low | Target APY: 10-15%
Strategy
Captures price differences between platforms by simultaneously buying on the cheaper venue and selling on the more expensive one.How It Works
Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trade Frequency | High (50-100/day) |
| Position Duration | Minutes to hours |
| Max Position Size | 5% of vault |
| Stop Loss | N/A (market-neutral) |
Risk Factors
- Execution risk if prices move during trade
- Settlement timing differences
- Platform access restrictions
The Contrarian
Mean Reversion
Risk: Medium | Target APY: 15-25%
Strategy
“Nothing ever happens” — bets against extreme price movements, expecting reversion to the mean.How It Works
Example
Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trade Frequency | Low (5-10/day) |
| Position Duration | Hours to days |
| Max Position Size | 10% of vault |
| Stop Loss | 20% from entry |
Risk Factors
- Black swan events (rare but extreme moves)
- Timing risk (position can move against you before reverting)
The Momentum Rider
Trend Following
Risk: Medium-High | Target APY: 20-35%
Strategy
Follows price momentum, buying markets that are trending up and selling those trending down.How It Works
Momentum Score
Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trade Frequency | Medium (weekly rebalance) |
| Position Duration | Days to weeks |
| Max Position Size | 15% of vault |
| Stop Loss | 15% from entry |
Risk Factors
- Trend reversals
- False breakouts
- High turnover costs
Election Cycles
Political Market Specialist
Risk: High | Target APY: 25-50%
Strategy
Systematic trading of political markets based on polling, sentiment, and historical patterns.How It Works
Example
Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trade Frequency | Medium (2-5/day during election season) |
| Position Duration | Days to months |
| Max Position Size | 20% of vault |
| Stop Loss | 25% from entry |
Risk Factors
- Polling errors
- October surprises
- Concentrated risk in election markets
The News Trader
Event-Driven Trading
Risk: High | Target APY: 30-60%
Strategy
Trades rapidly on breaking news using NLP to parse headlines and react faster than humans.How It Works
Signal Types
| Signal | Example | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Positive for outcome | ”CEO announces expansion” | Buy YES |
| Negative for outcome | ”Scandal breaks” | Buy NO |
| Uncertainty increase | ”Investigation announced” | Wait |
Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trade Frequency | Variable (news-dependent) |
| Position Duration | Minutes to hours |
| Max Position Size | 5% of vault |
| Stop Loss | 10% from entry |
Risk Factors
- False news/rumors
- Delayed execution
- Crowded trades
Strategy Comparison
| Strategy | Risk | Target APY | Sharpe | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbitrageur | Low | 10-15% | 2.5 | 5% |
| Contrarian | Medium | 15-25% | 1.5 | 15% |
| Momentum | Medium-High | 20-35% | 1.2 | 25% |
| Elections | High | 25-50% | 1.0 | 35% |
| News Trader | High | 30-60% | 0.8 | 40% |
Sharpe Ratio: Risk-adjusted return measure. Higher is better. Max DD:
Maximum drawdown—largest peak-to-trough decline.
Building Your Portfolio
Combine strategies for diversification:- Conservative
- Balanced
- Aggressive
Next Steps
Vaults Overview
Learn how vaults work.
Become a Manager
Create your own strategy.